Terms Of Service

PROBABILITY LAB TERMS OF SERVICE

Last Updated: 01/01/26

These Terms of Service ("Terms") govern your access to and use of Probability Lab, including its website, community, Discord server, educational materials, software tools, alerts, courses, content, and related services (collectively, the "Services"), operated by Sage Creek Inc. ("Company", "we", "our", or "us").

By accessing or using the Services, you agree to be bound by these Terms. If you do not agree, do not access or use the Services.

EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Probability Lab is an educational platform.

Nothing provided through the Services constitutes financial advice, investment advice, trading advice, legal advice, tax advice, accounting advice, or any other professional advice.

All content is provided solely for informational and educational purposes.

You are solely responsible for evaluating any information provided and making your own decisions.

NO INVESTMENT ADVISORY RELATIONSHIP

No fiduciary, advisory, broker-client, investment adviser-client, or professional relationship is created through your use of the Services.

Probability Lab does not provide personalized recommendations regarding securities, prediction markets, cryptocurrencies, sports markets, event contracts, financial instruments, or investments of any kind.

RISK DISCLOSURE

Prediction markets, investing, trading, speculation, and financial decision-making involve substantial risk.

You acknowledge and agree that:

• You may lose some or all of your capital.
• Past performance does not guarantee future results.
• Market outcomes are uncertain.
• Any examples, historical results, simulations, case studies, or member results are not guarantees of future performance.
• Information may become outdated or inaccurate.

You assume all risk associated with your decisions.

MEMBER CONTENT

Users may post comments, analysis, predictions, research, trade ideas, messages, and other content.

Probability Lab does not verify, endorse, guarantee, or assume responsibility for user-generated content.

Members are solely responsible for their own statements, opinions, and actions.

ACCOUNT ELIGIBILITY

You must:

• Be at least 18 years old.
• Have legal capacity to enter into agreements.
• Comply with all applicable laws and regulations.

We reserve the right to deny access to any person at any time.

MEMBERSHIPS AND SUBSCRIPTIONS

Access may be offered through:

• Free memberships
• Paid memberships
• Promotions
• Trials
• Affiliate offers
• Special invitations

Pricing, features, and benefits may change at any time.

Membership access is personal and non-transferable.

BILLING

Paid subscriptions automatically renew unless canceled before renewal.

You authorize recurring billing through our payment processor.

You are responsible for maintaining valid payment information.

Failure to pay may result in suspension or termination.

REFUNDS

Unless otherwise required by law, all purchases are final.

No refunds will be provided for:

• Failure to use the Services
• Dissatisfaction with results
• Failure to cancel
• Removal for violation of these Terms

Any exceptions are granted solely at our discretion.

INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY

All Probability Lab content is owned by Sage Creek Inc.

This includes:

• Software
• Tools
• Dashboards
• Courses
• Videos
• Graphics
• Logos
• Branding
• Documents
• Research
• Community content created by us

You may not:

• Reproduce
• Redistribute
• Copy
• Record
• Republish
• Resell
• License
• Reverse engineer

any portion of the Services without written permission.

COMMUNITY RULES

Users may not:

• Harass others
• Threaten others
• Share illegal content
• Spam
• Scam
• Impersonate others
• Manipulate the community
• Disrupt discussions
• Share paid content outside the community

We reserve the right to remove content or terminate access at any time.

TERMINATION

We may suspend, restrict, or terminate access:

• With or without notice
• For any reason
• At our sole discretion

Termination does not entitle you to a refund.

THIRD-PARTY SERVICES

The Services may reference or integrate with third-party platforms including:

• Discord
• Whop
• Polymarket
• Kalshi
• Payment processors
• Analytics providers

We are not responsible for the availability, actions, policies, content, or performance of third-party services.

NO GUARANTEE OF RESULTS

We make no guarantees regarding:

• Profitability
• Performance
• Earnings
• Trading success
• Prediction accuracy
• Research quality
• Community participation

Results vary between users.

DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES

The Services are provided "AS IS" and "AS AVAILABLE."

To the maximum extent permitted by law, Sage Creek Inc. disclaims all warranties, express or implied, including:

• Merchantability
• Fitness for a particular purpose
• Non-infringement
• Accuracy
• Reliability
• Availability

We do not guarantee uninterrupted service.

LIMITATION OF LIABILITY

To the fullest extent permitted by law, Sage Creek Inc., Probability Lab, its owners, officers, employees, contractors, affiliates, licensors, and partners shall not be liable for:

• Financial losses
• Lost profits
• Lost opportunities
• Trading losses
• Indirect damages
• Consequential damages
• Special damages
• Punitive damages

arising out of or related to your use of the Services.

Our total liability shall never exceed the amount paid by you to Probability Lab during the twelve (12) months preceding the claim.

INDEMNIFICATION

You agree to defend, indemnify, and hold harmless Sage Creek Inc. from any claims, liabilities, losses, damages, expenses, costs, and attorney fees arising from:

• Your use of the Services
• Your violation of these Terms
• Your violation of applicable laws
• Your conduct within the community

MODIFICATIONS

We may modify these Terms at any time.

Continued use of the Services after changes become effective constitutes acceptance of the revised Terms.

GOVERNING LAW

These Terms shall be governed by the laws applicable to Sage Creek Inc., without regard to conflict of law principles.

SEVERABILITY

If any provision is found unenforceable, the remaining provisions shall remain in full force and effect.

ENTIRE AGREEMENT

These Terms constitute the entire agreement between you and Sage Creek Inc. regarding the Services and supersede prior agreements or understandings.

CONTACT

Sage Creek Inc.
Probability Lab

For support, questions, or legal inquiries, contact us through our official support channels.

By accessing or using Probability Lab, you acknowledge that you have read, understood, and agree to these Terms of Service.

© 2026 Sage Creek Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Risk Disclaimer. Probability Lab is an educational community for prediction market participants. Nothing on this website, inside the community, or within any tool, course, research post, or discussion should be considered financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Any examples, trade ideas, performance metrics, or member results are provided for informational purposes only and may not be typical. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Prediction market trading involves substantial risk, including the loss of some or all capital. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions and risk management. Only participate with funds you can afford to lose. Probability Lab is an independent educational platform and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by Polymarket, Kalshi, or any other market platform referenced on this website.